[U , U ] Kwisahluko, ndandithanda kakhulu nge-post-stratification. Nangona kunjalo, oku akusoloko kuphucula umgangatho woqikelelo. Yakha imeko apho i-post-stratification inganciphisa umgangatho weengqikelelo. (Ukuze ucebise, jonga Thomsen (1973) .)
[U , U , U ] Uyilo kwaye uqhube uphando olungenakunokwenzeka kwi-Amazon Mechanical Turk ukubuza malunga nobunikazi bomnini kunye nezimo zengqondo malunga nokulawula umpu. Ngoko ukuba unokuthelekisa uqikelelo lwakho kulabo abathathwe kwisampula esinokwenzeka, nceda ukukopisha umbuzo wemibuzo kunye neempendulo zokuphendula ngokuthe ngqo kwi-survey ephakamileyo enjengaleyo eqhutywa yiPew Research Center.
[U , U , U ] I-Goel kunye nabalingane (2016) bephethe imibuzo engama-49 ekukhethwa kwimibuzo evela kwi-General Social Survey (GSS) kwaye ukhethe uphando nge-Pew Research Centre kwi-sampula engenakwenzekayo yabaphenduli abasuka kwi-Amazon Mechanical Turk. Baye bahlengahlengela ukungahambelani kwedatha ngokusebenzisa i-post-stratification esekelwe kumzekelo kunye nokuthelekiswa koqikelelo lwabo olulungisiweyo kunye nalabo basuka kwi-GSS kunye noPew. Ukuqhuba uphando olufanayo kwi-Amazon Mechanical Turk kwaye uzame ukuphindaphinda umfanekiso wesi-2a kunye nomfanekiso wesi-2b ngokuthelekisa uqikelelo olulungelelanisiweyo kunye noqikelelo lwamaxesha atshanje e-GSS noPew. (Jonga i-appendix ithebula ye-A2 kuluhlu lwemibuzo engama-49.)
[U , U , U ] Izifundo ezininzi zisebenzisa iindlela ezizenzekelayo zokusetyenziswa kwefowuni. Oku kuyimimiselo enomdla apho abaphandi banokuqhathanisa ukuziphatha okubikwayo kunye nokuziphatha okuzenzekelayo (jonga umzekelo, Boase and Ling (2013) ). Iziganeko ezibini eziqhelekileyo zokubuza malunga nokubiza kunye nokuthumela imiyalezo, kwaye ezimbini izihlandlo eziqhelekileyo "ziyizolo" kunye "neveki eledlule."
[U , U ] I-Schuman ne-Presser (1996) ithi loo myalelo wemibuzo iya kubaluleka kwiintlobo ezimbini zemibuzo: imibuzo eyingxenye-nxalenye apho imibuzo emibini iphezulu kwinqanaba elithile (umz., Ukulinganiselwa kwabaviwa ababini); kunye nemibuzo-yonke imibuzo apho umbuzo jikelele ulandela umbuzo othile (umzekelo, ukubuza ukuba "Uneliseke kangakanani ngomsebenzi wakho?" landelwa "Uneliseke kangakanani na ubomi bakho?").
Baqhubeka bebonisa iintlobo ezimbini zeempembelelo zomyalelo wombuzo: iziphumo ezihambelanayo zenzeke xa iimpendulo kumbuzo kamva ziziswa ngokusondeleyo (kunokuba zingaphinde zibe khona) kwabo banikwe umbuzo ongaphambili; Imiphumo eyahlukileyo iya kwenzeka xa kukho ukungafani okukhulu phakathi kweempendulo ezimbini.
[U , U ] Ukwakha umsebenzi we-Schuman no-Presser, Moore (2002) uchaza umlinganiselo ohlukeneyo wempembelelo yomyalelo womyalelo: iziphumo ezongezelelweyo kunye nokukhupha. Nangona ukuchasana kunye nemiphumo ehambisanayo kuveliswa ngenxa yokuvavanywa kwabaphenduli bezinto ezimbini ngokubhekelana nomnye nomnye, iimpembelelo ezongeziweyo kunye nezikhuphayo ziveliswa xa abaphenduli benziwa ngakumbi ngakumbi kwisikhokelo esikhulu apho imibuzo ifunwa khona. Funda Moore (2002) , ngoko uyilo kwaye usebenze uphando olwenzayo kwi-MTurk ukubonisa iziphumo ezongezelelweyo okanye ezikhuphayo.
[U , U ] UChristopher Antoun kunye noogxa (2015) baqhube isifundo ngokuthelekisa iisampula ezilula ezifunyenwe kwimithombo emine yokuqhafaza kwi-intanethi: I-MTurk, i-Craigslist, i-Google AdWords ne-Facebook. Yenza uphando olulula kwaye uthabathe abathathi-nxaxheba ngokusebenzisa ubuncinane imithombo emibini yokuqhathanisa inthanethi (le Antoun et al. (2015) kwimithombo emine esetyenziswa kwi- Antoun et al. (2015) ).
[U ] Ukuzama ukuxela iziphumo ze-2016 ye-EU Referendum (okt, i-Brexit), i-YouGov-i-Intanethi-based based research survey-eqhutywe ngeefowuni ze-intanethi yeqela elimalunga nama-800,000 abaphenduliweyo e-United Kingdom.
Inkcazo ecacileyo yemodeli ye-YouGov inokufumaneka kwi-https: //yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/21/yougov-referendum-model/. Ukuthetha ngokuthe ngqo, u-YouGov wahlukanisa abavoti kwiintlobo ezisusela kwi-voting jikelele yokukhetha ukhetho, iminyaka yobudala, iziqinisekiso, ubulili, kunye nomhla wokudliwano-ndlebe, kwakunye neendawo abahlala kuyo. Okokuqala, basebenzise idatha eqokelelwe kwi-YouGov panelist ukuqikelela, phakathi kwabo bavotayo, inani labantu abalingene nombolo nganye yokuvota ababezimisele ukuvota. Baqikelela ukuba ukutshintshwa kohlobo ngalunye lwabavoti ngokusebenzisa iSifundo seBhunga laseBrithani sika-2015 (BES), uphenonongo olujongene nolonyulo lwangaphambili, oluye lwaluqinisekisa ukuphuma kwinqanaba lokhetho. Ekugqibeleni, baqikelela ukuba bangaphi abantu ababekho kulo hlobo ngalunye lwabavoti kwi-electorate, ngokusekelwe kwiNgcaciso yabemiLuntu noNyaka (kunye nolwazi olongezelelweyo oluvela eminye imithombo yolwazi).
Kwiintsuku ezintathu ngaphambi kwevoti, u-YouGov ubonise iikhokelo ezimbini zekhefu. Ngomhla wokuvota, i-poll ibonise ukuba umphumo wawusondele kakhulu ukubiza (49/51 Hlalani). Uhlolo lokugqibela ngomhla we-day luqikelele u-48/52 ukulungiselela ukuhlala (https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/yougov-day-poll/). Enyanisweni, eli qi kelelo laphuka umphumo wokugqibela (i-52/48 yekhefu) ngamaphuzu amane eepesenti.
[U , U ] Bhala umzekelo ukubonisa umzekelo ngamnye weefayile zokumela kumfanekiso 3.2.
[U , U ] Uphando lwe-Blumenstock kunye noogxa (2015) lubandakanyeka ukwakha imodeli yokufunda imashishini engasebenzisa idatha yedijithali yokucwangcisa ukuphendula kwangaphambili iimpendulo zophando. Ngoku, uzakuzama into efanayo kunye nedatha yeenkcukacha ezahlukeneyo. Kosinski, Stillwell, and Graepel (2013) yabona ukuba ukuthandwa kwe-Facebook kunokukwazi ukuchaza ubungqina kunye neempawu. Okumangalisa kukuba, ezi zibikezelo zinokuba zichaneke ngakumbi kunezohlobo nabahlobo (Youyou, Kosinski, and Stillwell 2015) .
[U ] Toole et al. (2015) basebenzisa iirekhodi zengcaciso yeefowuni (CDRs) kwiifowuni eziphathekayo ukuxela ukungahambi kwemisebenzi.