[ , ] Nyob rau hauv tshooj, kuv tau pom zoo heev txog kev rov tsim dua. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov no tsis tas txhim kho qhov kev kwv yees zoo. Tsim ib qhov teeb meem uas qhov post-stratification yuav txo tau qhov zoo ntawm kev kwv yees. (Rau ib qho tseem ceeb, saib Thomsen (1973) .)
[ , , ] Tsim thiab ua ib qho kev soj ntsuam uas tsis yog-probability ntawm Amazon Mechanical Turk mus nug txog cov tswv cuab thiab cov kev coj ntawm kev tswj phom. Yog li ntawd koj tuaj yeem piv koj cov kev kwv yees rau cov uas muab tau los ntawm cov qauv ntawm cov qauv, thov luam cov lus nug thiab cov lus teb ncaj qha los ntawm kev soj ntsuam zoo siab xws li cov neeg khiav los ntawm Pew Research Center.
[ , , ] Goel thiab cov npoj yaig (2016) xaiv 49 ntau cov lus nug uas tau xaiv los ntawm General Social Survey (GSS) thiab xaiv cov kev tshawb fawb los ntawm Pew Research Center rau cov neeg tsis muaj kev tshwm sim los ntawm Amazon Mechanical Turk. Lawv mam li hloov rau cov kev tsis lees paub cov ntaub ntawv uas siv cov qauv tom qab-tawm qauv thiab muab piv rau cov kev kwv yees raug kho nrog cov neeg los ntawm qhov muaj feem ntau ntawm GSS thiab Pew kuaj. Ua tib daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas ntawm Amazon Mechanical Turk thiab sim ua kom rov ua dua daim duab 2a thiab daim duab 2b los ntawm kev sib piv koj cov kev txhim kho nrog cov kev kwv yees los ntawm cov kev sib tw dhau los ntawm GSS thiab Pew kuaj. (Mus saib cov lus A2 rau cov lus nug ntawm 49 cov lus nug.)
[ , , ] Ntau cov kev tshawb fawb siv tus kheej qhia txog kev siv xov tooj ntawm tes. Qhov no yog qhov chaw uas cov kws tshawb fawb tau sib piv tau tus cwj pwm qhia tus kheej nrog tus cwj pwm tsim nyog (saib xws li, Boase and Ling (2013) ). Ob tug cwj pwm coj cwj pwm nug txog yog hu thiab ntaus ntawv, thiab ob lub sij hawm luv luv yog "nag hmo" thiab "lub lim tiam dhau los."
[ , ] Schuman thiab Presser (1996) hais tias qhov kev txiav txim lus nug tseem ceeb rau ob hom lus nug: ib feem ntawm cov lus nug uas ob lo lus nug nyob rau tib theem ntawm kev ua tau zoo (xws li, kev ntaus nqi ntawm ob tug neeg sib tw ua nom ua tswv); thiab ib feem-tag nrho cov lus nug uas cov lus nug hauv qab no tau nug ntau lo lus nug (piv txwv, nug "Koj txaus siab npaum li cas rau koj txoj haujlwm?" raws li "Koj txaus siab npaum li cas nrog koj lub neej?").
Nkawd ntxiv txog ob hom lus nug txog cov nyhuv: cov lus teb muaj tshwm sim thaum cov lus teb rau lo lus nug tom qab tuaj yeem txav ze dua (tshaj qhov lawv xav tau) rau cov uas tau muab rau ib lo lus nug dhau los; zoo ib qho teeb meem tshwm sim thaum muaj ntau qhov sib txawv ntawm cov lus teb mus rau ob nqe lus nug.
[ , ] Lub tsev ua haujlwm ntawm Schuman thiab Presser, Moore (2002) piav qhia qhov txawv ntawm qhov kev txiav txim siab txog kev txhim kho: cov khoom siv ntxiv thiab kev sib rho. Thaum muaj qhov sib txawv thiab sib luag cov teebmeem tshwm sim los ntawm cov neeg los ntawm kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm ob yam khoom sib piv, sib ntxiv thiab rho tawm qhov teebmeem raug tsim tawm thaum cov neeg raug tsim ua ntau dua rau hauv cov txheej txheem loj hauv cov lus nug. Nyeem Moore (2002) , tom qab ntawd tsim thiab sim ib qho kev sim soj ntsuam ntawm MTurk kom pom tias muaj kev ntxiv los yog rho tawm.
[ , ] Christopher Antoun thiab cov npoj yaig (2015) tau tshawb nrhiav cov kev tshawb fawb yooj yim uas tau txais los ntawm plaub yam hauv online chaw nrhiav: MTurk, Craigslist, Google AdWords thiab Facebook. Tsim cov lus nug yooj yooj yim thiab nrhiav cov neeg koom los ntawm tsawg kawg yog ob yam hauv online nrhiav chaw (cov kev pab no yuav txawv ntawm plaub qhov chaw siv hauv Antoun et al. (2015) ).
[ ] Los ntawm kev txiav txim siab txog cov ntsiab lus ntawm 2016 2016 Txoj Cai Xa Mus Nkag (ie, Brexit), YouGov-qhov kev tshawb fawb hauv Internet raws li kev tshawb fawb tau-tshawb hauv online polls ntawm ib pawg vaj huam sib luag ntawm 800,000 tus neeg teb hauv lub tebchaws United Kingdom.
Ib qho lus piav qhia txog KojGov qhov qauv tshwm sim muaj nyob ntawm https: //yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/21/yougov-referendum-model/. Hais txog, KojGov muab cov neeg pov npav faib ua hom kev xaiv rau xyoo 2015, kev xaiv tsa, hnub nyoog, kev sib tw, hnub nyug, thiab hnub tim ntawm kev sib tham, thiab cov neeg hauv cheeb tsam uas lawv nyob. Ua ntej, lawv tau siv cov ntaub ntawv sau los ntawm KojGov tus neeg saib xyuas los kwv yees, ntawm cov neeg uas tau xaiv, qhov feem pua ntawm cov neeg ntawm txhua tus neeg pov npav uas tau xaiv los pov npav Cia. Lawv kwv yees qhov kev xaiv ntawm txhua tus neeg pov npav los ntawm kev siv lub 2015 Kev Tshawb Fawb Ntawm Kev Nkag Tebchaws (BES), qhov kev ntsuam xyuas tom qab ntawm kev xaiv tsa, uas validated los ntawm cov ntawv xaiv tsa. Thaum kawg, lawv kwv yees tias muaj pes tsawg leej neeg ntawm txhua tus neeg pov npav hauv cov neeg xaiv tsa, raws li qhov tseeb Census thiab Daim Ntawv Ntsuam Xyuas Txhua Xyoo (nrog rau lwm cov ntaub ntawv ntxiv los ntawm lwm cov ntaub ntawv).
Peb hnub ua ntej txoj kev pov npav, KojGov tau qhia txog ob txoj hauv kev ntsuam xyuas Kev Tshawb Fawb. Nyob rau ntawm lub rooj sib tw ntawm kev pov npav, lub chaw pov npav tau qhia tias qhov tshwm sim ntawd yog qhov zoo nyob ze (49/51). Qhov kawg ntawm txoj kev tshawb nrhiav tau hais tseg 48/52 ntawm qhov Tshem Tawm (https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/yougov-day-poll/). Qhov tseeb, qhov kev kwv yees no ploj kawg qhov kawg (52/48 Tseg) los ntawm plaub feem pua ntsiab lus.
[ , ] Sau ib simulation los qhia txog txhua yam ntawm qhov sawv cev ntawm cov teeb meem hauv daim duab 3.2.
[ , ] Cov kev tshawb fawb ntawm Blumenstock thiab cov npoj yaig (2015) koom tes nrog lub tshuab kev kawm siv tus qauv uas yuav siv tau cov ntaub ntawv xov xwm los ntsuam xyuas cov lus nug. Tam sim no, koj yuav mus sim tib yam nrog ib hom dataset. Kosinski, Stillwell, and Graepel (2013) pom tias Facebook nyiam nyiam twv qhov tseeb thiab tus cwj pwm. Kuj ceeb tias, qhov kev twv no yuav muaj tseeb tshaj li cov phooj ywg thiab cov npoj yaig (Youyou, Kosinski, and Stillwell 2015) .
[ ] Toole et al. (2015) siv hu xov tooj txhua yam (CDRs) los ntawm cov xov tooj ntawm tes los twv seb cov nyiaj poob haujlwm poob haujlwm.