Haawi mai i keia mau ano he umi o ka nui ikepili kumu, a me ka hoʻomaopop 'ana i hoʻokau' o ke ahiahi e akakaʻi malama aeaiiua, heaha la ke ano o ka hana noiʻi papa kōnane, he pono keia mau mea? Ka mea, pehea la e hiki ai i ka wa a makou i noi ninau, a aole hoi e holo ho okolohua makou aʻo? It ke, he mea pono e kiai ana ia kanaka hiki ole e alakai i ka hana hoihoi noiʻi, aka, o ka ole ka hihia.
I ike ka papa kuhikuhiE papa kōnane o ekolu No ka mea, aʻo 'ana mai observational ikepili: helu mea, forecasting mea, a me ka approximating hoʻokolohua. I u wehewehe mai kela a me keia o keia mau hoʻokokoke mai, i hiki ke kapaia "noiʻi papa kōnane" ai 'ole "noiʻi ideas" -and E kahaki ia lakou me ka examples. Keia mau papa kōnane aole lakou he poe ae exclusive a exhaustive, aka, aole lakou i hoʻopio i ka puu o ka noiʻi me ka observational ikepili.
E foreshadow i na koi e hahai, helu na mea he nui loa i ka wa a makou e empirically adjudicating ma waena o wānana mai okoa theories. Forecasting, a oi loa aku hoi nowcasting, e hiki e pono no ke kulekele hana akua. Eia ke oki, nui ikepili maoli ko makou hiki e hana causal koho mai observational ikepili.